Sam Benzacar of Anatech Electronics, an RF and microwave filter company, has published his November
newsletter that features his short op−ed entitled "My Predictions for 2019:
The Reckoning," which is a follow-up on his December 2018 newsletter main article
entitled, "The RF
and Microwave Industry in 2019: My Predictions," that included 5G, IoT, Defense,
and rural broadband. Buried within this year's "reckoning" are a few predictions
for 2020. Will Sam be as prescient regarding 2020 as he was for 2019? Check in this
time next year to find out. In other news, Sam includes a few other items related
to our RF industry.
A Word from Sam Benzacar
My Predictions for 2019: The Reckoning
By Sam Benzacar
Last December, instead of summing up the trends to watch in the coming year,
I took the precarious step of making my own predictions. For example, I predicted
that 5G-capable smartphones would be available from some manufacturers and Fixed
Wireless Access [FWA] (wireless broadband delivery) would be available in some places.
Both proved to be true, although only a few 5G-enabled smartphones are available
a year later and Apple is waiting until later this year or possibly next year.
The big news this year has been rollouts of FWA by Verizon at 28 GHz and
AT&T using a combination of millimeter-wave and mid-band frequencies. T-Mobile
is taking the low road, using mid-band frequencies exclusively, although millimeter-wave
frequencies could be added if the merger with Sprint is achieved. FWA represents
the leading of 5G at the moment.
5G: FWA will expand to become
a true competitor to cable as it's deployed more widely in urban and some suburban
areas. Now that the stand-alone version of 5G New Radio (5G NR) has been finalized,
5G deployment, in general, will accelerate in 2020, more Android smartphones will
become available, and prices may decrease along with greater competition. Apple,
which typically follows its own path, may (or may not) add some 5G capabilities
to its phone line-up in the third or fourth quarter.
Realistic service plans will begin to appear from the big four (or three) carriers
later in the year. Deployment of millimeter-wave infrastructure will increase, and
it will be somewhat easier to visualize how well it will work to ensure low-latency,
gigabit-per-second downlink speeds, and coverage indoors and other difficult coverage
New Mid-Band Spectrum: Unlike almost everywhere else, the U.S.
has few available spectrum resources below 6 GHz, but the FCC is feverishly
working to remedy this through re-farming of existing services, frequency sharing,
the Citizens Broadband Radio Service (CBRS), and other efforts. We can expect the
issues surrounding these activities to produce beneficial results for carriers,
allowing them to provide some 5G requirements without the immediate need to rely
on millimeter-wave frequencies.
IoT: In the consumer world, IoT has become a standard feature
in everything from home automation to surveillance, digital assistants, and many
other products. In 2020, some of the kinks will be removed, such as problems with
incompatibility among short-range communication standards using multi-protocol IoT
gateways. The much larger industrial markets such as industrial IoT and "smart"
cities will ramp up significantly this year and new applications will begin to be
deployed as well.
Rural Broadband: The wireless industry will finally step up
to the plate to minimize the number of people with either minimal or no broadband
service. All it took was the possibility of significant revenue generated by broadband,
IoT, and in the case of AT&T the windfall provided by the National Broadband
Public Safety Network. It's great news for customers but probably bad news for the
wireless internet service provider (WISP) industry that has been the saving grace
for rural customers for two decades.
Defense: I predicted that 2019 would be a great year for RF
and microwave manufacturers serving the defense industry. Just how accurate this
prediction was depended, as always, on what programs you serve. In 2020, I predict
that revenue will increase more broadly as services upgrade their equipment, and
the Army in particular, is massively expanding its EW capabilities. There are many
other potentially lucrative programs, from satellites to GPS, and new Navy ships,
to name just a few.
There are obviously many other markets that contribute to the total revenue of
the industry, but those above are those driving most of its fortunes. We'll check
back this time next year to see how my predictions fared.
In the meantime, all of us at Anatech Electronics wish everyone the best for
a wonderful holiday season, and good health, happiness, and prosperity for the New
Verizon Steps up 5G Home Offering
Verizon's 5G Home fixed
wireless access (FWA) service is about to transition from its "pre-standardized
version to 5G New Radio (NR), first in Chicago with other cities soon to follow,
according to the company. The customer-premise unit now includes a router that supports
Wi-Fi 6 (formerly known as IEEE 802.11ax) that also includes Bluetooth playback
and parental controls, and Amazon Alexa. It includes a smartphone app that helps
customers position the equipment in the home to make it self-installable. It costs
$50 per month for Verizon customers and $70 otherwise and offers downlink speeds
of 300 Mb/s to 1 Gb/s. Verizon says the next step will be to allow 5G (i.e., cellular)
signals to be available in the home, using repeaters.
5G SoC Market to Hit $10.9 Billion in 2024
Common Networks, a company
founded by ex-Square employees, has designed a technology that can challenge providers
in the telecommunications market. For about $50 a month, Common Networks is offering
300 Mb/s too 1Gb/s download speeds for households around Silicon Valley. The company
uses unlicensed 5G microwave and millimeter-wave spectrum an antennas installed
on rooftops, and using open-source software and hardware, the company developed
so "graph-based technology" that delivers high-speed broadband for what it claims
is about one-tenth what telecom companies typically pay.
FBI: Use Separate Wi-Fi Networks for IoT
The FBI's Portland, OR,
office says home IoT devices like doorbells, digital assistants, and other devices
should be on a Wi-Fi network separate from computers. "Your fridge and your laptop
should not be on the same network," the office said in its weekly advice column.
"Keep your most private, sensitive data on a separate system from your other IoT
devices." Its good advice considering that IoT devices have dubious security features
now, and camera-enabled doorbells are being integrated into neighborhood networks
used by law enforcement. The reasoning behind it is simple. By keeping all the IoT
equipment on a separate network, any compromise of a "smart" device will not grant
an attacker a direct route to a user's primary devices -- where most of their data
is stored. Jumping across the two networks would require considerable effort from
the attacker. The easiest way is to use two routers. The same advice has been shared
in the past by IT and security experts.
Cable Moves into the Mobile Market
Major cable companies are
moving into the wireless business at a surprisingly rapid pace. In the third quarter
of this year alone, Comcast, Charter, and Altice added nearly 500,000 subscribers,
collectively reaching 2.5 million. MoffettNathanson analyst Craig Moffett noted
in a recent report that "as a percentage of net market growth, the cable operators
have already reached a level of clear relevance in wireless," and that cable is
now starting to "matter" in the wireless sector. He expects cable companies to add
nearly 2 million subscribers in 2020. Pricing is one of the reasons as Altice, for
example, is offering its current broadband subscribers at a rate of $20 per month
per line "for life" with unlimited voice, text, and data.
Getting Ready for 5G:
Anatech Electronics introduce New Ka band 30.5 GHz Waveguide Band Pass Filter.
Featuring a center frequency of 30.5 GHz, a bandwidth of 1000 MHz, an Insertion
Loss 1 dB Max, and a Power Handling is 20 watts.
Anatech Electronics Introduces a New Line of Suspended Stripline and
Waveguide Type RF Filters
Check out Our Filter Products
Cavity Band Pass Filters
LC Band Pass Filters Cavity Bandstop/Notch Filter
About Anatech Electronics
Anatech Electronics, Inc. (AEI) specializes in the design and manufacture of
standard and custom RF and microwave filters and other passive components and subsystems
employed in commercial, industrial, and aerospace and applications. Products are
available from an operating frequency range of 10 kHz to 30 GHz and include cavity,
ceramic, crystal, LC, and surface acoustic wave (SAW), as well as power combiners/dividers,
duplexers and diplexers, directional couplers, terminations, attenuators, circulators,
EMI filters, and lightning arrestors. The company's custom products and capabilities
are available at www.anatechelectronics.com.
Anatech Electronics, Inc.
70 Outwater Lane
Garfield, NJ 07026
Posted December 17, 2019